Crime occurs year-round, yet violent crime rates often rise during the summer season.
A 2014 report from the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) identified seasonal patterns in violent crime spanning nearly two decades, with heightened victimization in June, July, and August.
Specifically, incidents of rape, sexual assault, and aggravated assault were found to be more prevalent during the summer months than in other seasons.
The DOJ reported increases in violence involving weapons and severe injuries during the summer compared to winter and spring.
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Research consistently shows that violent crime tends to increase during the summer, particularly at night. (iStock)
“The challenge during summer months is the baseline. The temperature starts high, and we know that increased warmth contributes to crime rates. As temperatures rise further, we witness a corresponding increase in crime,” stated Dr. Josh Klapow, a psychologist and professor at the University of Alabama, in a previous comment to FOX Weather.
He pointed out that extreme heat days and altered routines are key contributors to the rise in summer crime.
“We feel discomfort before we physically notice the effects. Being hot or dehydrated, combined with the distressing weather, plays a role,” Klapow added.
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“Our day-to-day lives shift in summer, increasing our chances of encountering crime.”
Violent crime generally peaks during the summer months. (iStock)
A 2019 study conducted by the University of Southern California found that overall crime increased by an average of 2.2% and violent crime by 5.7% on days with temperatures above 85 degrees Fahrenheit compared to cooler days.
According to the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention, the timing of violent crimes varies by age group.
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More than one-third of all violent crimes (murder, violent sexual assault, robbery, aggravated assault, simple assault, and kidnapping) committed by individuals under 18 occur between noon and 5 p.m. For adults aged 18 and older, 30% of violent crimes happen between 6-11 p.m.
A 2022 study by Vivint analyzed public crime data from 13 major metropolitan areas to identify patterns, including peak times for specific crimes.
Assaults, burglaries, criminal mischief, drug offenses, fraud, harassment, larceny, vehicle crimes, and theft were most prevalent between noon and 7 p.m., while arson, battery, sexual assaults, and weapon-related incidents occurred more frequently during the late-night hours. The study concluded that although most crimes overall occur during daylight, violent crimes are notably higher at night.
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Violent crime is not confined to a single type of offense; however, there are general safety strategies that can help protect you.
To ensure safety from crime, try to avoid walking alone at night. (iStock)
The National Crime Prevention Council recommends against walking or jogging in the early morning or late evening hours. If you must go out at night, always bring a companion.
Additionally, limit the cash you carry and refrain from bringing valuables with you.
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If you sense you are being followed, change your route. Continue moving until you reach a well-lit area, such as a store or restaurant, as advised by the National Crime Prevention Council.
Other recommendations from the National Crime Prevention Council include keeping your car doors locked, parking in lit areas, and never meeting a previously abusive partner without a companion.
